Where we’re going, we don’t need roads
January 8th, 2010 by 
Ray
Happy 2010 everyone.
As they do every year before the season, Fangraphs has added projections for the 2010 season. Now, on every player’s page, they are listing the Bill James and CHONE projections, and while they haven’t gotten around to everyone yet, they have also started listing projections made by the fans.
(Also, projections projections projections)
Here’s how the starting 10 for the 2010 Padres might look:
Adrian Gonzalez
| wOBA | wRC+* | |
| James | .383 | 138 |
| CHONE | .383 | 138 |
| Fans | .396 | 147 |
David Eckstein
| wOBA | wRC+ | |
| James | .299 | 79 |
| CHONE | .299 | 80 |
Everth Cabrera
| wOBA | wRC+ | |
| James | .330 | 101 |
| CHONE | .326 | 98 |
Kevin Kouzmanoff
| wOBA | wRC+ | |
| James | .336 | 105 |
| CHONE | .321 | 95 |
Chase Headley
| wOBA | wRC+ | |
| James | .359 | 121 |
| CHONE | .34o | 108 |
Tony Gwynn, Jr.
| wOBA | wRC+ | |
| James | .305 | 83 |
| CHONE | .315 | 91 |
| Fans | .315 | 90 |
Will Venable
| wOBA | wRC+ | |
| James | .316 | 91 |
| CHONE | .318 | 93 |
Kyle Blanks
| wOBA | wRC+ | |
| James | 0.363 | 124 |
| CHONE | 0.356 | 119 |
Nick Hundley
| wOBA | wRC+ | |
| James | .306 | 84 |
| CHONE | .304 | 83 |
I’ll go ahead and say what we’re all thinking: AJ is popular enough to get voted on by the fans? I like it (but I like AJ).
Overall, there’s not a lot of surprise here. The experts have Adrian coming down from his monster 09 campaign, putting him more in line with his very good 2007 and 08 seasons, while the fans put him somewhere in-between. Headley and Blanks are also looking good, and that’s about it.
Personally, I’m glad to see that Cabrera projects to stay average. I’ll take that from a toolsy shortstop who should only be in Triple-A.
*wRC+ is essentially wOBA on the OPS+ scale
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2 Comments »
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That’s exactly what I’ve always expected out of Blanks. A good hitter, but not exactly an all star considering he’s limited to first base (or a clunky corner outfielder).