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January 8th, 2010 by

Happy 2010 everyone.

As they do every year before the season, Fangraphs has added projections for the 2010 season. Now, on every player’s page, they are listing the Bill James and CHONE projections, and while they haven’t gotten around to everyone yet, they have also started listing projections made by the fans.

(Also, projections projections projections)
Here’s how the starting 10 for the 2010 Padres might look:

Adrian Gonzalez

wOBA wRC+*
James .383 138
CHONE .383 138
Fans .396 147

David Eckstein

wOBA wRC+
James .299 79
CHONE .299 80

Everth Cabrera

wOBA wRC+
James .330 101
CHONE .326 98

Kevin Kouzmanoff

wOBA wRC+
James .336 105
CHONE .321 95

Chase Headley

wOBA wRC+
James .359 121
CHONE .34o 108

Tony Gwynn, Jr.

wOBA wRC+
James .305 83
CHONE .315 91
Fans .315 90

Will Venable

wOBA wRC+
James .316 91
CHONE .318 93

Kyle Blanks

wOBA wRC+
James 0.363 124
CHONE 0.356 119

Nick Hundley

wOBA wRC+
James .306 84
CHONE .304 83

I’ll go ahead and say what we’re all thinking: AJ is popular enough to get voted on by the fans? I like it (but I like AJ).

Overall, there’s not a lot of surprise here. The experts have Adrian coming down from his monster 09 campaign, putting him more in line with his very good 2007 and 08 seasons, while the fans put him somewhere in-between. Headley and Blanks are also looking good, and that’s about it.

Personally, I’m glad to see that Cabrera projects to stay average. I’ll take that from a toolsy shortstop who should only be in Triple-A.

*wRC+ is essentially wOBA on the OPS+ scale

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